ll10 major technological trends in 2014
[01/18/2014]
This year in technology promises to be no less interesting than the last
Mobile devices will continue to build "smart" and learn to more accurately anticipate the desires of the owner. Users have to say goodbye with a sense of "invisible" on the Internet, which is increasingly will demonstrate how well "knows" users. 3D-printing, robotics, intelligent devices promise to qualitatively change the industrial and consumer markets. Desktop computer systems
Hybrid computers or devices "2-in-1"
Hybrid computers came into being in 2013. This tablet with a detachable keyboard unit, which assembled resemble old desktops. On the market a lot of these models, but still they were too expensive for the mass market.
In 2014, the price of hybrids should be lower, and the devices themselves - and more popular. They will benefit as those who are accustomed to desktop computers, and those who prefer tablets, but wants to have something more. The company Intel, for example, believe that it is a hybrid model in 2014 will take a dominant position on the market of computers. Apple Apple is preparing to offer a new conceptual model of a desktop computer - MacPro. He will have a cylindrical body, a powerful processor with 12 cores and a clock speed of up to 4 GHz, the possibility of the monitor output resolution images 4K - as in most modern TVs. It provides for the possibility to create a personal data store. MacPro price will be close to the current premium segment of the market. Minimum version MacPro will cost $ 2,999, complete set MacPro will cost $ 10,000 and up. Why? Apple is preparing to set a new standard for price and to revive the desktop market, which is heavily passed in recent years. This will bring in new industry money. 4K display manufacturers have already supported Apple in its endeavor. lntel main world producer of processors continue to produce microchips, which will be smaller, and their multi-core - more. Already preparing to release series processors Broadwell, allowing to apply the technological limits of 14 nm and placed in a single processor to 18 cores. Still the flagship - processors Haswell - will have to give leadership to the new favorite. In general, the path of development promoted by Intel, will remain the same: build processor performance by equipping even more cores without increasing the speed of a single core. Universal ChargerSo far, every notebook manufacturer produces its own type of battery charger that are not always easy and convenient . Now there is a new standard agreement charges. It can be expected that in 2014, manufacturers finally move to a universal model of the charger, which is suitable for all laptops. Smartphones and Tablets
64-bit processors
Issue 2013 Model Apple iPhone 5S with 64-bit CPU, A7 was the signal for the market. Samsung has decided in early 2014 to release his own 64-bit processor and equip them next flagship smartphone Samsung Galaxy S5.
Transition to 64-bit architecture also confirmed other processor manufacturers - Qualcomm, Nvidia and Broadcom. Their 64-bit model will be available in the first half of 2014, while the 64-bit ARM-systems will be equipped with not only mobile gadgets, but also network computers and servers. During the second half of 2014 will join the list of manufacturers of budget processors - the company MediaTek and Allwinner, which also move to release 64-bit models. New design: curved geometry of curved shape of the body will be gradually replace the flat design, characteristic of current smartphones and fabletov. The company LG, for example, believe that by 2015 about 12% of new smartphone will have a curved design, and by 2018 their share was 40%. "legislators" this fashion steel LG and Samsung. LG has released one of the first model with a curved screen (LG G Flex). Moreover, it announced its ambitious plans to develop a smartphone that will have a flexible body. Although it plans distant perspective: According to experts, the industrial production of flexible displays is to be expected no earlier than 10 years. Edition smartphone with a curved geometry display tried to learn in 2013, Samsung model Galaxy Round. Unlike LG body was not bent lengthwise and crosswise. But experience has shown the first sales: this design is not like customers. Nevertheless, Samsung ready to continue experimenting with the design. The company's plans for 2014 - the release of the smartphone, the display of which is bent at one edge at its end, which will house the control button. rumored developing its own smartphone with a curved display and is Apple. The new model can appear as early as 2014. Google vs. Apple The main advantage of iPhone - great graphics. With the release of the 2013 model iPhone 5S reached a new milestone - resolution 326 ppi. However, Apple's competitors on its heels. So, update Android 4.4 KitKat allows 560 pixels resolution, Samsung is going to implement this feature in the new model GalaxyS5. Apple is preparing to give his own answer. Modern TVs, monitors, and video cameras provide resolution 2K, and Apple plans to launch in 2014 a new tablet iPadBiggie with such resolution, bringing to the screen size is 12.9 inches. A few months later, Apple plans to release a more powerful model iPad with a display resolution of 4K. Catch leaders mobile OS Smartphone makers do not lose hope to oust Google and Apple's mobile operating system market. Already in early 2014, Samsung and Intel plans to release its own system TizenOS for smartphones and cameras. Near the Android in 2013 have already appeared official clones. We are talking about the version of CyanogenMod, which is developing a separate group of developers. They are inserted into the system features that are not supported by Google in its main direction of development of Android. Asus company will offer in 2014 a series of plates, which will operate and Android, and Windows 8. Handheld Gadgets
Wearable electronics
According ABIResearch, global shipments of portable devices in 2013 exceeded 50 million units. It is projected that by the end of 2014 the market will present about 100 million wearable gadgets, and by 2018 their number will exceed 540 million
In 2013, the major players in this market were considered of Sony, Samsung, Pebble. Were visible and projects that received "popular" financing online platform Kickstarter. And in 2014 this market will become even more "hot". Here are planning to have new major players: Apple, Google, Microsoft, Nokia, Motorola, LG. They also will join the company, not directly related to the IT industry. For example, Nike, which already has at its disposal a fitness tracker FuelBand, but complement it in a 2014 issue of its own model of smart hours. Programs for wearable gadgets In 2013 there was a rapid growth of mobile applications dedicated to health, sports, scientific nutrition. Number of issued programs, according to Research2Guidance, already more than 100 000 items that enjoy considerable success among the buyers: the daily number of downloads for the programs of the top 10 this subject more than 4 million still mobile applications for wearable gadgets mainly accumulated information from human . In 2014, they will function daily advice with recommendations on diet, lifestyle changes. Tips will be given on the basis of the gadgets on the lifestyle of their owners. At least it can help to save people from a variety of chronic diseases. Smart apparel and textiles This segment should finalize in 2014, and, according to the company's forecast for 2018 MarketsandMarkets, the market should exceed $ 2 billionalready known examples of the first developments in this region. For example, OMsignal to become the first manufacturer in the world biochuvstvitelnoy special clothing that is capable of tracking changes in human well-being. Its built-in sensors will record heart rate, respiratory rhythm, level of physical activity. The collected data can be monitored in real time via a smartphone.Another example of development offers Wearable Sports Electronics, a division of Adidas. In 2014, it plans to introduce the technology to the consumer market, which previously applied only to professional sports. For example, sport shirts miCoachElite with internal sensor - such goods are still used, for example, athletes professional football league MLS. Robotics
In the coming years robotics should make a breakthrough, the prerequisites for which was laid in the creation of artificial intelligence in the last 40 years. Until now, the market was not understanding who will buy these "miracle device" and who will serve them. One of the most famous examples of developments in robotics have been studies of BostonDynamics. For several years, she led the project U.S. defense DARPA, however, in late 2013 the development was acquired by Google. What happens to them - one of the mysteries, the answer to that should give 2014. Trends of robotics in 2014 the two-armed robots. In this direction work SeikoEpson, Nachi, ABB, Kawada. They created robots resemble humans, that, according to the developers must ensure consumer demand. robot manipulator. Such systems are still designed primarily for the industry, but the idea of remote access and control over the implementation of detailed operations manipulator may find application in the consumer sector.Wearable robotic devices. It's about developing eco-skeletons that are now coming for mass circulation. They are designed to assist people with disabilities, the therapy and rehabilitation, to help athletes in training. "smart home"
Today, "smart home" - it's all kinds of lighting control system, security access control in the home, climate control, mechanization garage doors, shutter control electronics for home entertainment. Development of "cloud" technologies in 2014 is expected breakthrough in the development of video surveillance systems, which are increasingly working through the "cloud computing." But if you are still in the "cloud" simply accumulated footage, now innovation become analytic functions to be provided through the "cloud" and use the data accumulated there. At the same time in 2014 is expected to decline in prices for gadgets used for "smart home", as well as services to their installation and maintenance. Becoming a mass market, it leads to democratization prices.
"Zoo" technology
there is a chance that 2014 will be systematized technology "smart home". Now there is a real "zoo" of the devices used in these homes. For example, among the wired and wireless communication methods have BACnet, LonWorks, ZigBee, EnOcean, Bluetooth, Z-Wave, Wi-Fi, NFC. For the consumer, it's too much. In 2014, equipment manufacturers have to move towards each other for the sake of increasing the user's convenience. Unified Automation Server To combine multiple gadgets into one system "smart home", need a single server automation. Now this server is not a niche is not busy, and a lot of options on the market of individual installations. Leader should appear, followed by the competitors will. Who gives a call to action? It is possible that the elements of such a server platform may occur, for example, in the future model AppleTV. But while the question remains open. Games
In 2014, will continue to be popular for video game consoles. Main source of income of their creators are not selling, and additional services purchased during the game. Thus, according to statistics, the average monthly check for the purchase of additional "features" is $ 16.50 per player. also grow the popularity of games for tablets. According to forecasts, by 2016 their share of the game roar reaches 47.6%. In 2014, games for iOS are more popular games for Android, but the application for the latter will quickly reduce the backlog. Sales of games will stimulate sales of TVs, desktops, smartphones and tablets. So, for the last two years the number of gaming enthusiasts in the U.S., using all kinds of gaming devices increased by 25%, and the total number was 40 million.But the most active this trend manifests itself in China and Spain. Televisions
Ultra HD and curved design
Back in 2012 was approved by the term «Ultra High Definition» or «Ultra HD» instead of the old 4K. In 2013, the leading TV manufacturers relied on this standard - screen resolution at 3840h2160 pixels, the presence of a digital input and the aspect ratio of 16x9. In the past year, a new series of TVs with OLED-screen curved shape, which has become an alternative "stalled» 3D-TV.The main competitors in the market TVs were Sony, LG, Samsung. This year manufacturers battle began in January at CES 2014.There, LG and Samsung introduced its first model with flexible screen TVs. This - the same curved screen, but now its shape can be adapted to the location of the viewer. Samsung also plans to demonstrate the technology control your TV using gestures.Smart choice video Google is preparing to release in the first half of 2014 NexusTV - set-top box based on Android with the capabilities of a gaming console. With its help, you can view streaming video, which will be collected from various sources of video: Netflix, Hulu and YouTube. Novelty gadget is that it can intelligently "anticipate" and desire to offer the viewer a choice of interesting video for him. technology allows for gender and age, history of past hits, a selection of other viewers with similar preferences for spectators. 3D-printing
In 2014, 3D-printing will continue to beat the records of popularity. This is not only connected with the fact that items can be created from a metal, ceramic or plastic materials. The main factor - now they can "print" to order. This market power noticed, and in the U.S., for example, is already working on a bill for the legal regulation of 3D-printing. 2014 will be an important technology for the development of more and because this market should leave large vendors such as HP, Samsung and Microsoft.
Data Warehouse
Storage systems for mobile
storage capacity for mobile devices (smartphones and tablets) will continue in 2014 at the same level - it will be from 16 to 64 GB for smartphones and from 32 to 128 GB for tablets. "Cloud" storage in 2014 with a further development of mobile Internet will increase consumer interest in "cloud" technology. Members will actively move data from personal storage in the "cloud." This will benefit both producers and consumers, who will have access to a set of new "cloud" services. All this may lead to an explosive growth in popularity of the personal "clouds". Repositories hard disk Major manufacturers - Seagate, Western Digital and Toshiba - will actively implement the 2014 hybrid hard drives. They are distinguished primarily small shell thickness (about 5 mm) and economical in terms of energy consumption of flash memory. As a result, the market will be a lot of new models of ultra-thin notebook with a large amount of local memory. They are particularly popular where the level of development of mobile Internet will not allow the "cloud" technologies to compete with them. Mobile Commerce
"Mass customization" of products sold
lately purchases via smartphones and tablets stood out in a separate area, which develops, without exception, in all developed countries. Many trading companies have already released applications for smartphones. In 2014, the expected mass production of mobile trading applications for tablets. At most trade will continue the process of "mass customization" of goods sold. This means that before you make a purchase, the customer selects the goods, the most adapted to his taste: color, size, list of properties. For this, he uses a variety of technologies and mobile gadgets. mobile wallet in 2014 will continue to gain popularity mobile wallet - a special application for the smartphone. However, according to forecasts, this payment method to truly win the market a few years.Meanwhile different startups are developing their own version of a mobile wallet, but the final choice of users gradually allocate one or two leaders. Candidates at this place called PayPal and Google, but it is possible that there may be other leaders.
Hybrid computers or devices "2-in-1"
Hybrid computers came into being in 2013. This tablet with a detachable keyboard unit, which assembled resemble old desktops. On the market a lot of these models, but still they were too expensive for the mass market.
In 2014, the price of hybrids should be lower, and the devices themselves - and more popular. They will benefit as those who are accustomed to desktop computers, and those who prefer tablets, but wants to have something more. The company Intel, for example, believe that it is a hybrid model in 2014 will take a dominant position on the market of computers. Apple Apple is preparing to offer a new conceptual model of a desktop computer - MacPro. He will have a cylindrical body, a powerful processor with 12 cores and a clock speed of up to 4 GHz, the possibility of the monitor output resolution images 4K - as in most modern TVs. It provides for the possibility to create a personal data store. MacPro price will be close to the current premium segment of the market. Minimum version MacPro will cost $ 2,999, complete set MacPro will cost $ 10,000 and up. Why? Apple is preparing to set a new standard for price and to revive the desktop market, which is heavily passed in recent years. This will bring in new industry money. 4K display manufacturers have already supported Apple in its endeavor. lntel main world producer of processors continue to produce microchips, which will be smaller, and their multi-core - more. Already preparing to release series processors Broadwell, allowing to apply the technological limits of 14 nm and placed in a single processor to 18 cores. Still the flagship - processors Haswell - will have to give leadership to the new favorite. In general, the path of development promoted by Intel, will remain the same: build processor performance by equipping even more cores without increasing the speed of a single core. Universal ChargerSo far, every notebook manufacturer produces its own type of battery charger that are not always easy and convenient . Now there is a new standard agreement charges. It can be expected that in 2014, manufacturers finally move to a universal model of the charger, which is suitable for all laptops. Smartphones and Tablets
64-bit processors
Issue 2013 Model Apple iPhone 5S with 64-bit CPU, A7 was the signal for the market. Samsung has decided in early 2014 to release his own 64-bit processor and equip them next flagship smartphone Samsung Galaxy S5.
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Transition to 64-bit architecture also confirmed other processor manufacturers - Qualcomm, Nvidia and Broadcom. Their 64-bit model will be available in the first half of 2014, while the 64-bit ARM-systems will be equipped with not only mobile gadgets, but also network computers and servers. During the second half of 2014 will join the list of manufacturers of budget processors - the company MediaTek and Allwinner, which also move to release 64-bit models. New design: curved geometry of curved shape of the body will be gradually replace the flat design, characteristic of current smartphones and fabletov. The company LG, for example, believe that by 2015 about 12% of new smartphone will have a curved design, and by 2018 their share was 40%. "legislators" this fashion steel LG and Samsung. LG has released one of the first model with a curved screen (LG G Flex). Moreover, it announced its ambitious plans to develop a smartphone that will have a flexible body. Although it plans distant perspective: According to experts, the industrial production of flexible displays is to be expected no earlier than 10 years. Edition smartphone with a curved geometry display tried to learn in 2013, Samsung model Galaxy Round. Unlike LG body was not bent lengthwise and crosswise. But experience has shown the first sales: this design is not like customers. Nevertheless, Samsung ready to continue experimenting with the design. The company's plans for 2014 - the release of the smartphone, the display of which is bent at one edge at its end, which will house the control button. rumored developing its own smartphone with a curved display and is Apple. The new model can appear as early as 2014. Google vs. Apple The main advantage of iPhone - great graphics. With the release of the 2013 model iPhone 5S reached a new milestone - resolution 326 ppi. However, Apple's competitors on its heels. So, update Android 4.4 KitKat allows 560 pixels resolution, Samsung is going to implement this feature in the new model GalaxyS5. Apple is preparing to give his own answer. Modern TVs, monitors, and video cameras provide resolution 2K, and Apple plans to launch in 2014 a new tablet iPadBiggie with such resolution, bringing to the screen size is 12.9 inches. A few months later, Apple plans to release a more powerful model iPad with a display resolution of 4K. Catch leaders mobile OS Smartphone makers do not lose hope to oust Google and Apple's mobile operating system market. Already in early 2014, Samsung and Intel plans to release its own system TizenOS for smartphones and cameras. Near the Android in 2013 have already appeared official clones. We are talking about the version of CyanogenMod, which is developing a separate group of developers. They are inserted into the system features that are not supported by Google in its main direction of development of Android. Asus company will offer in 2014 a series of plates, which will operate and Android, and Windows 8. Handheld Gadgets
Wearable electronics
According ABIResearch, global shipments of portable devices in 2013 exceeded 50 million units. It is projected that by the end of 2014 the market will present about 100 million wearable gadgets, and by 2018 their number will exceed 540 million
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In 2013, the major players in this market were considered of Sony, Samsung, Pebble. Were visible and projects that received "popular" financing online platform Kickstarter. And in 2014 this market will become even more "hot". Here are planning to have new major players: Apple, Google, Microsoft, Nokia, Motorola, LG. They also will join the company, not directly related to the IT industry. For example, Nike, which already has at its disposal a fitness tracker FuelBand, but complement it in a 2014 issue of its own model of smart hours. Programs for wearable gadgets In 2013 there was a rapid growth of mobile applications dedicated to health, sports, scientific nutrition. Number of issued programs, according to Research2Guidance, already more than 100 000 items that enjoy considerable success among the buyers: the daily number of downloads for the programs of the top 10 this subject more than 4 million still mobile applications for wearable gadgets mainly accumulated information from human . In 2014, they will function daily advice with recommendations on diet, lifestyle changes. Tips will be given on the basis of the gadgets on the lifestyle of their owners. At least it can help to save people from a variety of chronic diseases. Smart apparel and textiles This segment should finalize in 2014, and, according to the company's forecast for 2018 MarketsandMarkets, the market should exceed $ 2 billionalready known examples of the first developments in this region. For example, OMsignal to become the first manufacturer in the world biochuvstvitelnoy special clothing that is capable of tracking changes in human well-being. Its built-in sensors will record heart rate, respiratory rhythm, level of physical activity. The collected data can be monitored in real time via a smartphone.Another example of development offers Wearable Sports Electronics, a division of Adidas. In 2014, it plans to introduce the technology to the consumer market, which previously applied only to professional sports. For example, sport shirts miCoachElite with internal sensor - such goods are still used, for example, athletes professional football league MLS. Robotics
In the coming years robotics should make a breakthrough, the prerequisites for which was laid in the creation of artificial intelligence in the last 40 years. Until now, the market was not understanding who will buy these "miracle device" and who will serve them. One of the most famous examples of developments in robotics have been studies of BostonDynamics. For several years, she led the project U.S. defense DARPA, however, in late 2013 the development was acquired by Google. What happens to them - one of the mysteries, the answer to that should give 2014. Trends of robotics in 2014 the two-armed robots. In this direction work SeikoEpson, Nachi, ABB, Kawada. They created robots resemble humans, that, according to the developers must ensure consumer demand. robot manipulator. Such systems are still designed primarily for the industry, but the idea of remote access and control over the implementation of detailed operations manipulator may find application in the consumer sector.Wearable robotic devices. It's about developing eco-skeletons that are now coming for mass circulation. They are designed to assist people with disabilities, the therapy and rehabilitation, to help athletes in training. "smart home"
Today, "smart home" - it's all kinds of lighting control system, security access control in the home, climate control, mechanization garage doors, shutter control electronics for home entertainment. Development of "cloud" technologies in 2014 is expected breakthrough in the development of video surveillance systems, which are increasingly working through the "cloud computing." But if you are still in the "cloud" simply accumulated footage, now innovation become analytic functions to be provided through the "cloud" and use the data accumulated there. At the same time in 2014 is expected to decline in prices for gadgets used for "smart home", as well as services to their installation and maintenance. Becoming a mass market, it leads to democratization prices.
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"Zoo" technology
there is a chance that 2014 will be systematized technology "smart home". Now there is a real "zoo" of the devices used in these homes. For example, among the wired and wireless communication methods have BACnet, LonWorks, ZigBee, EnOcean, Bluetooth, Z-Wave, Wi-Fi, NFC. For the consumer, it's too much. In 2014, equipment manufacturers have to move towards each other for the sake of increasing the user's convenience. Unified Automation Server To combine multiple gadgets into one system "smart home", need a single server automation. Now this server is not a niche is not busy, and a lot of options on the market of individual installations. Leader should appear, followed by the competitors will. Who gives a call to action? It is possible that the elements of such a server platform may occur, for example, in the future model AppleTV. But while the question remains open. Games
In 2014, will continue to be popular for video game consoles. Main source of income of their creators are not selling, and additional services purchased during the game. Thus, according to statistics, the average monthly check for the purchase of additional "features" is $ 16.50 per player. also grow the popularity of games for tablets. According to forecasts, by 2016 their share of the game roar reaches 47.6%. In 2014, games for iOS are more popular games for Android, but the application for the latter will quickly reduce the backlog. Sales of games will stimulate sales of TVs, desktops, smartphones and tablets. So, for the last two years the number of gaming enthusiasts in the U.S., using all kinds of gaming devices increased by 25%, and the total number was 40 million.But the most active this trend manifests itself in China and Spain. Televisions
Ultra HD and curved design
Back in 2012 was approved by the term «Ultra High Definition» or «Ultra HD» instead of the old 4K. In 2013, the leading TV manufacturers relied on this standard - screen resolution at 3840h2160 pixels, the presence of a digital input and the aspect ratio of 16x9. In the past year, a new series of TVs with OLED-screen curved shape, which has become an alternative "stalled» 3D-TV.The main competitors in the market TVs were Sony, LG, Samsung. This year manufacturers battle began in January at CES 2014.There, LG and Samsung introduced its first model with flexible screen TVs. This - the same curved screen, but now its shape can be adapted to the location of the viewer. Samsung also plans to demonstrate the technology control your TV using gestures.Smart choice video Google is preparing to release in the first half of 2014 NexusTV - set-top box based on Android with the capabilities of a gaming console. With its help, you can view streaming video, which will be collected from various sources of video: Netflix, Hulu and YouTube. Novelty gadget is that it can intelligently "anticipate" and desire to offer the viewer a choice of interesting video for him. technology allows for gender and age, history of past hits, a selection of other viewers with similar preferences for spectators. 3D-printing
In 2014, 3D-printing will continue to beat the records of popularity. This is not only connected with the fact that items can be created from a metal, ceramic or plastic materials. The main factor - now they can "print" to order. This market power noticed, and in the U.S., for example, is already working on a bill for the legal regulation of 3D-printing. 2014 will be an important technology for the development of more and because this market should leave large vendors such as HP, Samsung and Microsoft.
| SEE ALSO | Informatization or mental debilitation? |
Data Warehouse
Storage systems for mobile
storage capacity for mobile devices (smartphones and tablets) will continue in 2014 at the same level - it will be from 16 to 64 GB for smartphones and from 32 to 128 GB for tablets. "Cloud" storage in 2014 with a further development of mobile Internet will increase consumer interest in "cloud" technology. Members will actively move data from personal storage in the "cloud." This will benefit both producers and consumers, who will have access to a set of new "cloud" services. All this may lead to an explosive growth in popularity of the personal "clouds". Repositories hard disk Major manufacturers - Seagate, Western Digital and Toshiba - will actively implement the 2014 hybrid hard drives. They are distinguished primarily small shell thickness (about 5 mm) and economical in terms of energy consumption of flash memory. As a result, the market will be a lot of new models of ultra-thin notebook with a large amount of local memory. They are particularly popular where the level of development of mobile Internet will not allow the "cloud" technologies to compete with them. Mobile Commerce
"Mass customization" of products sold
lately purchases via smartphones and tablets stood out in a separate area, which develops, without exception, in all developed countries. Many trading companies have already released applications for smartphones. In 2014, the expected mass production of mobile trading applications for tablets. At most trade will continue the process of "mass customization" of goods sold. This means that before you make a purchase, the customer selects the goods, the most adapted to his taste: color, size, list of properties. For this, he uses a variety of technologies and mobile gadgets. mobile wallet in 2014 will continue to gain popularity mobile wallet - a special application for the smartphone. However, according to forecasts, this payment method to truly win the market a few years.Meanwhile different startups are developing their own version of a mobile wallet, but the final choice of users gradually allocate one or two leaders. Candidates at this place called PayPal and Google, but it is possible that there may be other leaders.
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